The sharp slowdown in drilling in the Barnett Shale not only means that the big natural gas field will peak earlier than previously expected, but also that most of the major pipelines aimed at moving gas out of the field are already in place. Barry Davis, president of Dallas-based pipeline operator Crosstex Energy, told a Fort Worth audience Thursday that producers will still need to build smaller pipeline networks, called gathering systems, to carry gas from their wells to processing plants. But “probably 80 or 90 percent of the capital spending” on the big transmission lines that carry gas from the field to distant trading hubs has been done, said Davis, who made his remarks at an energy investment conference sponsored by the Texas Christian University Energy Institute.
Davis estimated that the Barnett Shale’s takeaway capacity – the amount of natural gas that pipelines can carry – stands at between 5.5 and 6 billion cubic feet a day, or Bcf. That compares to producers’ and analysts’ estimates of 4.6 to 5 Bcf a day at year’s end, of which Crosstex handles about 1.2 Bcf, he said. Today’s expected peak is far short of early predictions that the field could grow to 8 or 9 Bcf a day, Davis said, a level that would have required the industry to plow millions more into pipeline infrastructure. In retrospect, he said, the flattening of the Barnett’s production rate will probably result in a more effective use of those pipelines. “So now the Barnett gets to 4.5 or 5 billion Bcf,” he said, and as drilling stabilizes, “it just stays there forever.” That’s in line with comments from some producers in the field, who note that even if the field’s daily production doesn’t peak as high as it might have had the drilling frenzy continued, the field will still produce at a high level for decades.
-- Jim Fuquay